{ "metadata": { "calculation_date": "2025-09-25T17:14:40.417617", "author": "Yoshiyuki Matsuyama", "article": "#006 Disappearance Time", "version": "1.0" }, "physical_constants": { "G": 6.6743e-11, "c": 299792458, "M_sun": 1.98847e+30 }, "black_hole_parameters": { "M87": { "mass_solar": 6500000000, "schwarzschild_radius": 19196705983434.707 }, "SgrA": { "mass_solar": 4300000, "schwarzschild_radius": 12699359342.887577 } }, "results": { "different_radii": { "description": "Disappearance time for various tube radii", "calculations": [ { "r_meters": 9598352991717.354, "delta_t_seconds": 201166.60336625847, "delta_t_minutes": 3352.7767227709746, "delta_t_hours": 55.879612046182906, "delta_t_days": 2.3283171685909543, "formula": "Δt = 2πr\/c", "r_Rs_units": 0.5, "r_km": 9598352991.717354, "r_AU": 64.16011358099836 }, { "r_meters": 19196705983434.707, "delta_t_seconds": 402333.20673251693, "delta_t_minutes": 6705.553445541949, "delta_t_hours": 111.75922409236581, "delta_t_days": 4.656634337181909, "formula": "Δt = 2πr\/c", "r_Rs_units": 1, "r_km": 19196705983.434708, "r_AU": 128.3202271619967 }, { "r_meters": 38393411966869.414, "delta_t_seconds": 804666.4134650339, "delta_t_minutes": 13411.106891083899, "delta_t_hours": 223.51844818473162, "delta_t_days": 9.313268674363817, "formula": "Δt = 2πr\/c", "r_Rs_units": 2, "r_km": 38393411966.869415, "r_AU": 256.6404543239934 }, { "r_meters": 67188470942021.48, "delta_t_seconds": 1408166.2235638094, "delta_t_minutes": 23469.437059396823, "delta_t_hours": 391.1572843232804, "delta_t_days": 16.29822018013668, "formula": "Δt = 2πr\/c", "r_Rs_units": 3.5, "r_km": 67188470942.02148, "r_AU": 449.1207950669885 }, { "r_meters": 95983529917173.53, "delta_t_seconds": 2011666.0336625846, "delta_t_minutes": 33527.767227709744, "delta_t_hours": 558.7961204618291, "delta_t_days": 23.283171685909544, "formula": "Δt = 2πr\/c", "r_Rs_units": 5, "r_km": 95983529917.17354, "r_AU": 641.6011358099835 }, { "r_meters": 191967059834347.06, "delta_t_seconds": 4023332.067325169, "delta_t_minutes": 67055.53445541949, "delta_t_hours": 1117.5922409236582, "delta_t_days": 46.56634337181909, "formula": "Δt = 2πr\/c", "r_Rs_units": 10, "r_km": 191967059834.34708, "r_AU": 1283.202271619967 } ] }, "observation_windows": { "standard_radius": 19196705983434.707, "period_hours": 111.75922409236581, "windows": [ { "cycle": 1, "disappear_UTC": "2025-01-01T00:00:00", "reappear_UTC": "2025-01-03T07:52:46.603366", "duration_hours": 55.879612046182906 }, { "cycle": 2, "disappear_UTC": "2025-01-05T15:45:33.206733", "reappear_UTC": "2025-01-07T23:38:19.810099", "duration_hours": 55.879612046182906 }, { "cycle": 3, "disappear_UTC": "2025-01-10T07:31:06.413465", "reappear_UTC": "2025-01-12T15:23:53.016831", "duration_hours": 55.879612046182906 }, { "cycle": 4, "disappear_UTC": "2025-01-14T23:16:39.620198", "reappear_UTC": "2025-01-17T07:09:26.223564", "duration_hours": 55.879612046182906 }, { "cycle": 5, "disappear_UTC": "2025-01-19T15:02:12.826930", "reappear_UTC": "2025-01-21T22:54:59.430296", "duration_hours": 55.879612046182906 }, { "cycle": 6, "disappear_UTC": "2025-01-24T06:47:46.033663", "reappear_UTC": "2025-01-26T14:40:32.637029", "duration_hours": 55.879612046182906 }, { "cycle": 7, "disappear_UTC": "2025-01-28T22:33:19.240395", "reappear_UTC": "2025-01-31T06:26:05.843761", "duration_hours": 55.879612046182906 }, { "cycle": 8, "disappear_UTC": "2025-02-02T14:18:52.447128", "reappear_UTC": "2025-02-04T22:11:39.050494", "duration_hours": 55.879612046182906 }, { "cycle": 9, "disappear_UTC": "2025-02-07T06:04:25.653860", "reappear_UTC": "2025-02-09T13:57:12.257226", "duration_hours": 55.879612046182906 }, { "cycle": 10, "disappear_UTC": "2025-02-11T21:49:58.860593", "reappear_UTC": "2025-02-14T05:42:45.463959", "duration_hours": 55.879612046182906 } ] }, "black_hole_comparison": { "M87": { "mass_solar": 6500000000, "Rs_meters": 19196705983434.707, "Rs_km": 19196705983.434708, "delta_t_seconds": 402333.20673251693, "delta_t_hours": 111.75922409236581, "delta_t_days": 4.656634337181909 }, "SgrA": { "mass_solar": 4300000, "Rs_meters": 12699359342.887577, "Rs_km": 12699359.342887577, "delta_t_seconds": 266.15889060766506, "delta_t_hours": 0.07393302516879585, "delta_t_minutes": 4.435981510127751 }, "ratio": { "mass_ratio": 1511.6279069767443, "Rs_ratio": 1511.627906976744, "time_ratio": 1511.627906976744 } }, "detectability": { "time_resolution_required": { "ideal_hours": 1, "minimum_hours": 6, "description": "To detect disappearance\/reappearance transitions" }, "observation_duration": { "minimum_cycles": 3, "minimum_days": 13.969903011545728, "recommended_days": 46.56634337181909 }, "instruments": { "ALMA": { "suitable": true, "time_resolution": "< 1 hour achievable", "challenges": "Weather, scheduling" }, "EHT": { "suitable": false, "reason": "Campaign mode, not continuous monitoring" }, "X-ray": { "suitable": true, "satellites": [ "Chandra", "XMM-Newton", "NuSTAR" ], "advantage": "Continuous monitoring possible" } }, "signatures": { "flux_variation": "Periodic dimming\/brightening", "spectral_change": "Possible hardening during transit", "polarization": "Rotation pattern change" } }, "relativistic_corrections": { "description": "General relativistic time dilation effects", "corrections": [ { "r_Rs": 2, "gravitational_redshift": -0.2928932188134524, "time_dilation_factor": 0.7071067811865476, "delta_t_proper_seconds": 80466.64134650338, "delta_t_observed_seconds": 113797.01551083672, "correction_percent": 41.421356237309496 }, { "r_Rs": 3, "gravitational_redshift": -0.18350341907227397, "time_dilation_factor": 0.816496580927726, "delta_t_proper_seconds": 120699.9620197551, "delta_t_observed_seconds": 147826.65946085463, "correction_percent": 22.474487139158896 }, { "r_Rs": 5, "gravitational_redshift": -0.10557280900008414, "time_dilation_factor": 0.8944271909999159, "delta_t_proper_seconds": 201166.60336625847, "delta_t_observed_seconds": 224911.09996484598, "correction_percent": 11.80339887498949 }, { "r_Rs": 10, "gravitational_redshift": -0.05131670194948623, "time_dilation_factor": 0.9486832980505138, "delta_t_proper_seconds": 402333.20673251693, "delta_t_observed_seconds": 424096.43719804817, "correction_percent": 5.409255338945984 }, { "r_Rs": 20, "gravitational_redshift": -0.025320565519103666, "time_dilation_factor": 0.9746794344808963, "delta_t_proper_seconds": 804666.4134650339, "delta_t_observed_seconds": 825570.3208651268, "correction_percent": 2.59783520851542 }, { "r_Rs": 50, "gravitational_redshift": -0.01005050633883342, "time_dilation_factor": 0.9899494936611666, "delta_t_proper_seconds": 2011666.0336625846, "delta_t_observed_seconds": 2032089.562693513, "correction_percent": 1.0152544552210596 } ] }, "visualization": { "file": "disappearance_time_006.html", "type": "disappearance_time_vs_radius" } } }